Liberals in Hong Kong fear for city’s future as China falls back on strongman rule
Plan to scrap presidential term limits paves way for Xi Jinping to rule for life, dashing hopes in Hong Kong for any relaxation of hardline approach to city
Late paramount Chinese leader Deng Xiaoping once declared in a momentous speech in the early 1980s: “Good systems can prevent bad people doing whatever they want, while bad systems can make good people unable to do good things or even drive them to do bad things.”
The oft-cited remark back then comforted Martin Lee Chu-ming, the founding chairman of Hong Kong’s Democratic Party, who feared for the city’s future ahead of its return to Chinese rule in 1997.
“I do not need to worry too much if China values the importance of institutions.”
But Deng’s statement is back in vogue among Hong Kong’s liberal elite after Beijing’s bombshell announcement on Sunday that there should be no term limits on China’s president and vice-president, effectively paving the way for President Xi Jinping to stay in office beyond his second term.
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To this camp, the move is tantamount to weakening the foundations laid by Deng.
Some politicians and China watchers fear Xi’s uncompromising stance will mean an ever greater emphasis on one country rather than two systems, and upon restrictions on the rights and freedoms that Hongkongers currently enjoy. Economists meanwhile believe it may benefit the city’s economic development in the short term, assured as it would be of several key Beijing initiatives to boost its prospects.
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According to state news agency Xinhua on Sunday, the ruling Communist Party proposed removing from the constitution the line that states the president and vice-president “shall serve no more than two consecutive terms”. The proposal is to be considered by the national legislature next month.
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“Many people think the removal of term limits would mean a tougher battle for Hong Kong to achieve democracy – I agree, but that does not mean we should do nothing,” Lee said.
He advised Hongkongers to redouble their efforts to seek greater democracy, especially when the amendment also implied democratic reform was likely to be out of sight north of the border.
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Veteran China watcher Johnny Lau Yui-siu said such an approach was expected to stay if not intensify under Xi’s leadership, and it would be very difficult for the city to launch any constitutional reform that could actually bear meaningful fruit.
But Beijing-friendly scholars were less wary of the proposed change.
Professor Lau Siu-kai, vice-chairman of the Chinese Association of Hong Kong and Macau Studies, a semi-official think tank, said the amendment was only intended to ensure the rule regarding the president was on par with that concerning the party boss and military chief, who already do not have term limits.
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Tian Feilong, associate professor at Beihang University’s law school in Beijing, also said the high degree of autonomy Hong Kong enjoyed would not be harmed after the constitutional amendment.
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Putting politics aside, economists expected short-term benefits for Hong Kong with Xi staying on in power.
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But he said one could not rule out potential political jockeying in mainland China that could cause longer-term economic concerns, as not everyone would be patient waiting in line behind Xi.
Additional reporting by Phila Siu in Beijing